Republicans are hoping to hold onto a slim, three-seat majority in the Senate, but polls released Wednesday show Democrats stand a strong chance of eliminating that edge if the election were held today.
Quinnipiac University polls released Wednesday show Democratic challenger Sara Gideon ahead of incumbent Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) by a whopping 12 points (54%-42%) and South Carolina Democratic nominee Jaime Harrison tied with incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) (48%-48%).
Collins — who is widely regarded as one of the most vulnerable GOP senators this election year — trailed Gideon by only 4 points in a separate Quinnipiac survey in August.
In Arizona, Democratic challenger Mark Kelly has jumped out to a 10 point lead over incumbent Sen. Martha McSally (R-Ariz.) (52%-42%), according to an OH Predictive Insights poll released Wednesday.
Democrats have long-shot hopes of knocking off entrenched Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) but a Quinnipiac poll out Wednesday shows Democratic candidate Amy McGrath trailing the Leader by 11 points.
Several polls out Wednesday showed positive results for Joe Biden: ABC News/Washington Post polls found Biden ahead of President Trump by 6 points in Wisconsin (52%-46%) and 16 points in Minnesota (57%-41%), two battleground states, and ahead nationally by 9 points (50%-41%) in a Reuters/Ipsos poll.
Rasmussen, a right-leaning polling service that actively roots for Republican candidates online, published the first poll in months on Wednesday that showed Trump ahead of Biden nationally (47%-46%). The polling institute has missed the mark badly before: In 2018, it was the only survey to show Republicans winning the generic congressional vote. Democrats ended up winning by 8.4 points.
Polling shows Democrats have a strong chance of flipping Senate seats in Arizona (Kelly leads by 7 points in polls on average) , Maine (Gideon leads by 6.5 points in polls on average), and Colorado (Democratic challenger John Hickenlooper leads by 10.6 points on average over Sen. Cory Gardner,D-Colo.). But they are also expected to possibly lose the seat held by Sen. Doug Jones (D-Ala.), who narrowly defeated Judge Roy Moore, who was mired in scandal, in a special 2017 race. Toss-ups include Senate races in Montana, North Carolina, Iowa, Georgia, according to the Washington Post (the Post says Maine’s Senate race is also a toss-up). Pundits have considered South Carolina’s Senate race to be Graham’s to lose, but multiple polls have now shown the race tighter than originally thought.