Spotify Results Spell Dark Times For Podcasting As Commuters Stay Home

TOPLINE

The podcasting business is experiencing acute pain during the pandemic, Spotify reported Wednesday morning, due to declining advertising revenue and disruption to consumers’ listening habits.

KEY FACTS

Overall, Spotify performed well in the first quarter, adding 6 million new paid subscribers; its stock was up 15% Wednesday morning, making the company more valuable now than it was before the pandemic.

However, Spotify has invested heavily in podcasting to grow its business; it spent nearly $600 million over the past two years to acquire podcast networks like Gimlet and The Ringer.

With consumers no longer commuting or going about their normal activities, listening habits are changing: “Every day now looks like the weekend,” the company said, noting that shift is having a greater impact on podcasts than music.

Advertising revenue is falling across the media industry, and it’s no different for Spotify: the company lowered its revenue guidance for the second quarter.

Podcasting is almost entirely ad supported, meaning the industry could be particularly vulnerable to a dip in the ad market.

Although it is safe to continue production on podcasts (unlike most television shows and films), Spotify reported that output of the top 1,000 shows still declined by 20%.

Key background

Spotify’s warnings about podcasting corroborate findings by analytics firm Podtrac. Compared to the first week of March, podcast streams and downloads were down 23% during peak commute times between April 20-26. The dropoff was steepest when local governments started issuing stay-at-home orders in mid-March, and has since stabilized, with Podtrac seeing a 4% increase in downloads in the past week. Spotify also noted that it expects the coronavirus’ effects on podcasts to be temporary.

Big number 

$196 million. That is how much Spotify may end up spending on its acquisition of Bill Simmons’ The Ringer, with the low end of the price target still worth more than $140 million. The deal was announced in early February, before the coronavirus devastated the U.S. and Europe. With live sports cancelled for the time being, podcasts about sports have been hit particularly hard, according to Podtrac. 

Further reading

Spotify Will Acquire Bill Simmons’ The Ringer (Forbes)

Crime Does Pay: ‘My Favorite Murder’ Stars Join Joe Rogan As Nation’s Highest-Earning Podcasters (Forbes)

Streaming-Only Films Will Now Be Considered For Oscar Nomination Amid Coronavirus (Forbes)

Potbelly, Shake Shack, Axios: Here Are All The Companies Returning PPP Money After Public Backlash  (Forbes)

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