Today’s 2020 Election Polls: Biden Wins Final Debate, Still Leading In Pennsylvania And Michigan

Topline

Polls show former Vice President Joe Biden won the debate Thursday night despite what Republicans called a solid showing from Trump, and Biden is still maintaining a lead in battlegrounds Pennsylvania and Michigan, as well as national polls.

Key Facts

Two instant polls, one from CNN and another from YouGov, showed Biden winning the debate Thursday night by 14 points and 19 points respectively. 

A Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll shows Biden leading Trump in Pennsylvania 51% to 44% among likely voters, but it remains to be seen if Biden’s comments about the oil industry during the debate will cost him voters in the state.

In Michigan, which Trump narrowly won in 2016, an EPIC-MRA poll shows Biden leading by nine points. 

A survey from St. Pete Polls shows Biden ahead by 2 points in Florida, while a poll from Rasmussen Reports, known for giving Trump more favorable ratings, found Trump up by four points in the state.

A Morning Consult poll shows Biden narrowly ahead of Trump in Texas (48% to 47%), as the reliably red state becomes increasingly competitive for Democrats.

Nationally, Biden leads by four points in an IBT/TIPP poll and 10 points in a USC Dornsife poll.

Key Background

Despite the debate polls, Republicans are satisfied with Trump’s performance. Observers note that he didn’t make any massive gaffes and appeared to be more restrained than previous debates.

Crucial Quote

“You got to give Trump a minor victory because he’ll bring some [undecided] voters home, and it’ll close the race a little bit. But in the end, I think Joe Biden won the war,” GOP pollster Frank Luntz told CNBC Friday.


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